public class ARSeasonalFitEx1 extends Object
Searches for the best fit seasonality for the Airline data.
Consider the Airline Data (Box, Jenkins and Reinsel 1994, p. 547) consisting
of the monthly total number of international airline passengers from January
1949 through December 1960. Class ARSeasonalFit
is used to
compute the optimum seasonality representation of the adjusted series
$$W_t(s,d)=\Delta_{s_1}^{d_1}\Delta_{s_2}^{d_2}Z_t=
{(1-B^{s_1})}^{d_1}{(1-B^{s_2})}^{d_2}Z_t\rm{,}$$ where $$s=(1,1)$$ or
$$s=(1,12)$$ and $$d=(1,1)\rm{.}$$
As differenced series with minimum AIC, $$W_t=\Delta_1^1\Delta_{12}^2Z_t=(Z_t-Z_{t-12})- (Z_{t-1}-Z_{t-13})\rm{,}$$ is identified.
Constructor and Description |
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ARSeasonalFitEx1() |
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